Ranger, Your time line is similar to one I had made, looks good. However, (there is always a however huh), when thinking of the T2K updated timeline there are a couple of constants.
You were right that the basic conflict stays the same. The source book will begin in Poland, as the original, with the Russians squaring of against a slightly changed NATO. The premise is, loosely, under hard core leadership Russia moves to regain her lost status by seizing the former soviet states. Sorry Paul, but the soviet in the closet still stands.
Meanwhile, the actions of the US in and around the Middle East and else where alienate the UN and sanctions are placed against the US and assets are seized. France and Germany with support from Russia lead this campaign. The US, supported by her strongest allies (which led us to the discussion about Canada btw), including Poland use the military to attempt to regain the seized assets.
The beginnings of the Twilight war may actually have had its roots in other areas. The tension that exists now could explode almost anywhere. The most popular thought is a scenario involving China or some of the neighboring countries. North Korea being a strong possibility as well.
The transition from conventional to nuclear warfare stays incremental, though there is nothing that I know of yet which places the MWD events in the European theater. It is quite possible the first exchanges happened in China, N. Korea or the Middle East. It may even have been an act of retaliation against the UK or US and occurred in one of those countries. Once the MWDs start flying, then pretty soon everyone who has one wants to play and we have the escalation to an almost full exchange by everyone.
The actual war itself is most likely going to be a series of peacekeeping mission which just get worse. NATO and UN forces get so spread the result is a global conflict.
So, with that in mind, I think what Paul asked is good. In the year, 2015 say………
“…..highlight the hot spots in the world before the WMDs were salvoed, maybe one spot at a time? Try to include who's on either side and what they're fighting over in that particular region.”